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NATO’s Big Climb Down…

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We fully support Ukraine’s right to choose its own security arrangements. Ukraine’s future is in NATO. We reaffirm the commitment we made at the 2008 Summit in Bucharest that Ukraine will become a member of NATO, and today we recognise that Ukraine’s path to full Euro-Atlantic integration has moved beyond the need for the Membership Action Plan…

France Riots, Macron, NATO, and the Fate of the Empire…

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From capital markets to geopolitics I’ve been targeting next week’s big NATO summit in Vilnius, Lithuania as a potential turning point. All of the conflicts out there today clogging up the headlines, from naval encounters in the Persian Gulf to Janet Yellen stoking conflict with China with her mere presence, reduce to a single conclusion…

The Blob Begins to Quiver…

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“…the Permanent State lacks the courage to take hard decisions – to say to Moscow, ‘Let us put this unfortunate episode (Ukraine) behind us. Dig out those draft treaties you wrote in December 2021, and let’s see how we can work together, to restore some functionality again to Europe’.” — Alastair Crooke…

What to Expect from the Vilnius NATO Summit…

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​President Biden will spend three days in Europe at the NATO Summit in Vilnius scheduled for 11 and 12 July. The main topic will be Ukraine and where to go from here…

Background Paper: Russia, United States and Ukraine…

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This paper is written to help address a recurring question concerning the Ukraine conflict: whether Russia is moving fast enough to finish its Special Military Operation (SMO)? In order to do this, the paper covers certain selected historical periods in the operation where Russia might have made different decisions affecting the scope and pace of the SMO…

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