Giddy up… President Trump has fulfilled another campaign promise to confront China and hold firm. As promised, three decades of Donald Trump’s intense commitment to stop the exfiltration of Amerian wealth is on display today – When you plant your tree in another man’s orchard don’t be surprised when you end up paying for your […]
NO DEAL – CHINA DEPARTS EARLY AS NEGOTIATIONS END…
Powell’s Press Conference Draws Rave Reviews for Simplicity of the Fed’s Message…
Fed Keeps Interest Rates Steady, Maintains Its ‘Patient’ Policy Stance…
The Federal Reserve announced that it had left its benchmark federal-funds rate unchanged, after its two-day policy meeting concluded May 1. The central bank signaled more patience ahead. Fed policymakers gathered on April 30 and May 1 to assess the economic and financial conditions, and decide on monetary policy. As widely predicted, the central bank […]
Trump Calls for Fed to Cut Rates, Says Economy Would be a ‘Rocket Ship’…
OPINION: This Is the Real Reason Why the U.S. Economy Isn’t in Recession Danger Now by Ed Yardeni & Melissa Tagg…
The yield curve is first and foremost predicting the outlook for Fed policy rather than the next recession. My research has confirmed this conclusion, as does a recent Fed study. In my recent book, Predicting the Markets, I wrote: “The Yield Curve Model is based on investors’ expectations of how the Fed will respond to […]
Nomura: “BOOM, Roasted: The Fed’s “Clown Car” Experiment Is Now Complete”…
In the aftermath of the Fed’s second consecutive dovish capitulation, which while framed as a response to the slowing economy (a slowdown which the Fed completely missed as recently as December when 9 FOMC officials expected 1 or more rate hikes and now expect 0) but was really meant to support assets, many have taken […]
“Fed Returns To The Punchbowl”…
Low Interest Rates, Market Power, and Productivity Growth…
Study: Ben Bernanke Killed the World Economy…
This column has contended for several years, based on empirical data observations from several countries, that low interest rates worldwide were killing productivity growth. A University of Chicago paper finally provides some academic back-up for this contention and suggests a mechanism through which it takes place. There are other mechanisms also, and I would suggest […]
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