by Guy Benson at Townhall
While the Democratic Party seems to be lost on a deranged wilderness journey at the moment, some of their leading data gurus are trying to piece together a reliable picture of why Donald Trump won and Kamala Harris lost. To their shock and alarm, it turns out that some of the ironclad truths they thought they knew about American politics no longer apply. David Shor — one of these smart lefties, who was quasi-‘canceled’ in 2020 for suggesting lawless rioting was unhelpful to the Democrats — did a deep dive into a vast trove of data. In a podcast conversation with fellow ‘progressive’ wonk Ezra Klein, he identified several trends and pieces of statistical evidence that explain the 2024 election’s outcomes. Some of this is retreading ground we’ve covered, but the complete picture is even more stark. A few points stand out:
(1) Democrats lost support among people of color, part of a clear move away from the Left by working class people: “In 2016, Democrats received 81 percent of the Hispanic moderate vote, while in 2024 they received 58 percent. That’s only 6 percent more than the 52 percent of white moderates that they received in 2024. The main story here is just a continuation of the trends that we saw four years ago. Throughout the entire Trump campaign, we’ve observed this racial depolarization,” he said. Some additional points on this:…
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