by ZeroHedge News Staff at ZeroHedge
Coming into today’s CPI number, which followed three previous red-hot inflation prints, we said that it’s time for a “miss” (the first of 2024) not because the data demands it – on the contrary, prices continue to rise at a frightening pace – but because a dovish CPI print today would be the last opportunity for the Fed to set a timetable for a rate cut calendar ahead of November’s election.
Well, you can wave goodbye to all that, because we just got the 4th consecutive “inflation beat” in a row…
… with supercore inflation coming in blazing hot…
… thanks to a boiling inflation print which saw every single CPI metric coming in hotter than expected – was a shock, not because it reflected reality, but because it effectively sealed Biden’s fate because as Bloomberg’s Chris Antsey writes, “obviously, this is very bad news for Joe Biden… we’re approaching the point where high inflation is bound to still be in voters’ minds when they head to the polls, regardless of how the price figures come in over summer.”
With that in mind, here is a snapshot of kneejerk reactions by various other Wall Street economists and strategists to today’s print courtesy of Bloomberg.
Morgan Stanley economist Ellen Zentner is the first sellside to warn her June rate-cut call is in jeopardy:
“The upside surprise in core CPI is moving the inflation data further away from the convincing evidence the Fed needs to start cutting in June. Dependent on the PPI data tomorrow, this print tilts the Fed toward a later start to the cutting cycle than our current forecast for June.”
Brian Coulton, chief economist at Fitch:
“The so-called ‘Super-core’ CPI measure – services excluding rents – jumped from 3.9% y/y in February to 4.8% in March. This latter metric is heading the wrong way and quite quickly at that.”
David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan asset management:…
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