by Sundance at The Conservative Treehouse
Jumpin’ ju-ju-bones, CTH did not expect the BEA to admit the U.S. economy was in recession. CTH originally predicted the BEA would use lower import data as the primary tool to modify the GDP result.
Factually, in this report, import data -in combination with lower consumer spending- was the primary sector that led to the result. However, even with drops in the valuation of imports which lift GDP calculations, the economy still contracted.
Things must be much worse than officially admitted (details below), if the BEA is going to admit things are bad.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the dollar value of all goods and services produced in the economy, minus the dollar value of goods and services we import. The percentages discussed are percentages of change over time.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released their first estimate of the second quarter GDP [Data Here] reflecting a 0.9% drop in U.S. economic activity. The second quarter contraction follows a 1.6% drop in the first quarter, which means we now have two consecutive quarters of declining economic activity, the technical definition of a recession.
The two primary data points…
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