by Sundance at The Conservative Treehouse
The Bureau of Labor and Statistics released the January consumer price index today [DATA HERE] reflecting what you already know. The overall inflation rate stands at 6.4%, after the anniversaries of the first two waves of price increases have now tolled.
Inflation is the measure of price increases over time. Following two years of massive jumps in price, we are now cycling through and comparing current prices to the previous period when prices had already skyrocketed.
This gives a false impression of price moderation (hindsight inflation); however, the price of goods and services is significantly higher, and those prices will not drop. The higher prices are now embedded in the economy.
After a brief respite, a plateau, in energy price increases over Nov (0.5%) and December (0.4%), the January energy prices began climbing again (0.6%). This is what we have all noticed in the past three months.
Additionally, “shelter” costs, rent and housing, continue to increase in price (0.8%, January). Overall shelter costs now +7.9% for the 12 months preceding January, 2023, with rents up 8.6% for the period [Table-1].
We have also cycled through the anniversary of the first two waves of massive food price increases, ending January 2022. Despite that cycle, food prices still show an increase of 10.1% for the preceding 12 months. Cereals +15.6%, dairy +14.0%. These food price increases are on top of similar jumps in the period that preceded January ’22. Most of these volatile food price increases are attributable to the overall scale of energy and transportation costs. These prices will never reverse.
The issue is compounded because the inflation rate…
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