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A “Tanker Wave” Crosses the Atlantic: 8 Refueling Aircraft Pave the Path for the “Ghost” (B-2) to Spain… The Offensive Triangle Is Complete…

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by Talal Nahle of IntelSky at X

This update is the “smoking gun” we have been waiting for to confirm the third leg of the offensive triangle (Strategic Bombers).

What we are witnessing now is not a routine movement, but a massive “Tanker Wave” (8 KC-135 aircraft launching simultaneously) heading East. In standard military practice, mobilizing this number of tankers at once serves only two purposes: either transporting a full fighter squadron (a Coronet Mission) or supporting the trans-oceanic crossing of strategic bombers.

Here is the analysis of this “Wave” and how it confirms the B-2 Spirit scenario:

1. Confirmation of “The Morón Track”
The confirmation that 4 aircraft (RCH037, 038, 039, 040) are heading exclusively to Morón Air Base (Morón AB) in Spain is the most critical development.
* Why Morón? As previously discussed, this base acts as the primary “gas station” used by B-2 Spirit stealth bombers when deploying from their home base in Missouri (Whiteman AFB) to strike targets in the Middle East and return non-stop.
* Military Math: A single B-2 bomber typically requires multiple refueling operations to reach its target and return. Allocating 4 tankers to this specific track suggests that a pair (2) or a flight (4) of B-2s is currently en route (or preparing to launch) directly behind these tankers.

2. The Ghost Pack
The other 4 tankers (RCH800 and the rest) heading East with an “Unknown” destination likely serve a specific tactical function:
* Extending the Bridge: They may be headed to Lajes Field in the Azores (mid-Atlantic) or Mildenhall in the UK.
* The Objective: To create a continuous “fuel supply chain” across the Atlantic and the Mediterranean. This ensures that bombers (and escort fighters) find fuel available at any point along the route, guaranteeing they arrive over Iran with full tanks, ready for combat maneuvering.

3. The Full Map (The Attack Architecture)
Based on this update, the three axes of the attack are now complete:
* From the East (Indian Ocean): The USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group (waiting silently for orders).
* From the Center (Jordan/Gulf): F-15E and A-10 aircraft (ready to engage defenses and mechanized units).
* From the West (USA): B-2 Strategic Bombers (supported by the wave of 8 tankers currently detected).

Urgent Conclusion:
“Everything is heading East” is the summary of the situation.
The United States has activated the “Strategic Air Bridge.” These tankers are the “batteries” that will power the American war machine over Tehran.

Watch the coming hours. If these tankers suddenly disappear from radar over the Atlantic, know that they have begun the operation to refuel the stealth bombers, and the timing of the strike is effectively at hand.

MORE:

Preparation Time is Over: Washington Shutters the “Airbridge” in Jordan, Tel Aviv’s Secret Mission Accomplished… We Have Entered the Deadly “Hours of Silence” — Talal Nahle

Latest File Analysis (15:21 GMT – 18:51 Tehran Time, Wednesday, January 21):
NOTAM Status: “Total Stasis.”
No updates, no changes. The NOTAMs reflect the state of “deep freeze” that typically precedes sudden action.
However, specific intelligence provides the final picture prior to Zero Hour:

1. Closing the Airbridge File (Mission Complete)
The arrival of the final cargo aircraft (RCH865) and the termination of the airbridge to Jordan serves as the official declaration that mobilization is complete.
* Military Significance: In major operations, heavy logistics transport (C-17) ceases hours before combat operations commence for two reasons:
* To clear the runways for fighter jets (F-15/F-16) and tankers.
* To avoid exposing slow-moving cargo aircraft to danger once fire is exchanged.
* Bottom Line: The “American Shield” in Jordan is 100% complete. Warehouses are full, and batteries are deployed.

2. Departure of the “Mysterious Visitor” (KC-130J) from Tel Aviv
The departure of the US Navy Special Operations aircraft (KC-130J) after three days in Tel Aviv indicates the conclusion of a specific and sensitive mission.
* These aircraft are typically used to transport Navy SEAL teams or highly advanced encryption and communication equipment. Its departure suggests that “special packages” have been delivered, or that teams have been deployed to their covert locations.

3. The Pakistani Stance: “Securing the Rear” or “Eastern Threat”?
The Pakistani Defense Minister’s statements regarding support for Iran appear “diplomatic,” yet their timing is critical.
* Iran may be attempting to ensure “quiet” on its eastern front (Balochistan) to focus entirely on the west (Iraq/The Gulf).
* However, the presence of US bases in the region places Pakistan in a difficult position. Is this statement an attempt at self-neutralization rather than “genuine military support”?

Final Report (Wednesday Evening):
We are now in the “deadly waiting hours.”
* Logistics: Concluded (Airbridge ceased).
* NOTAM: Silent (No drills).
* Maritime: The Carrier is silent and off the radar.
* Diplomacy: Last-minute statements (Pakistan).
There is nothing left to be said or reported. The military machine has assumed “Attack Mode,” and everyone is simply waiting for Communiqué No. 1.

Even More…

Darkness Descends on Radar: The US Fleet Vanishes, Israel Blinds GPS, and the “Final Decision” Plane Lands in Tel Aviv. — Talal Nahle

Situation Analysis (18:05 GMT – 21:35 Tehran Time, Wednesday, January 21):
NOTAM Status: Zero Change.
This represents the most dangerous type of “stability.” Complete stasis in NOTAMs implies the theater has been frozen in its current posture, with no intention to modify plans or conduct new drills.
The indicators currently in my possession (ADS-B platforms entering a recession, GPS jamming, and VIP movements) paint the final scene before the storm:

1. The Great Vanishing
* The Intel: “There is currently no visible US movement on ADS-B networks (Tankers have disappeared, and there is a scarcity of military cargo).”
* The Analysis: In military terms, this is called “Dark Mode.” When transport fleets and tankers suddenly vanish from civilian applications, it does not mean they have stopped; rather, they have entered the operational airspace and switched off their transponders to avoid detection and targeting.
* This absolute silence is the major sign that tactical operations are commencing. The tankers are in the sky right now, but they do not want to be seen refueling the bombers.

2. Arrival of the “Last Envoy” (SAM986) in Tel Aviv
* The Aircraft: The B737 SAM986 is a US Air Force aircraft (C-40 Clipper) used to transport VIPs, members of Congress, or Special Envoys.
* The Timing: Its arrival in Tel Aviv now, amidst this tension, coming from Tampa (CENTCOM Headquarters), signifies one of two things:
* Delivering the final “Order of Operations” and coordinating face-to-face with the Israeli command (away from comms that could be intercepted).
* Evacuating families of diplomats or high-ranking US figures before the bombardment begins.

3. GPS Jamming in the North: “Electronic Blindness”
* The Location: Northern Israel.
* The Reason: Israel is engaging in intensive “Spoofing” of GPS signals to prevent Cruise missiles and Iranian drones (which rely on GPS) from hitting their targets accurately. This defensive measure is only undertaken on this scale when a very imminent attack is expected.

4. Iranian Government Aircraft (EP-IGD): Flight to the Bunker
* The Route: Bushehr \rightarrow Tehran.
* The Aircraft: Airbus A321 (EP-IGD) is a VIP aircraft for the Iranian Government (Meraj Airlines).
* The Implication: Moving senior officials from Bushehr (home to the nuclear reactor and power plant) to Tehran (the capital fortified with air defenses) may be an evacuation of leadership from the primary “Danger Zone” (coastal and nuclear areas) to bunkers in the capital.

Field Summary (Wednesday Evening):
We have entered the phase of “Total Fog”:
* In the Air: The US Fleet is “Invisible” (Dark Mode).
* In Israel: Widespread GPS jamming (anticipating missiles from the direction of Lebanon).
* In Iran: Evacuation of leadership from Bushehr.
* In Tel Aviv: Arrival of the CENTCOM envoy (SAM986).

Assessment:
There is no longer any “preparation.” We are now in the minutes following the decision and preceding the execution. The arrival of SAM986 may well be the “last visit” before the airspace is closed for war.

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