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August 20, 2020 at 7:31 pm

Building Permits, Housing Starts Skyrocket in July, Crushing Forecasts…

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Building Permits

Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,495,000 in July. That’s 18.8% (±1.1%) above the revised June rate of 1,258,000 and 9.4% (±1.5%) above the July 2019 rate of 1,366,000.

Forecasts ranged from a low of 1,200,000 to a high of 1,380,000. The consensus forecast was 1,300,000.

Single-family authorizations came in at a rate of 983,000, which is 17.0% (±1.2%) higher than the revised June figure of 840,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 467,000 in July.

Housing Starts

Privately-owned housing starts came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,496,000. That’s 22.6% (±14.7%) above the revised June estimate of 1,220,000 and is 23.4% (±12.4%) higher than the July 2019 rate of 1,212,000.

Single-family housing starts came in at a rate of 940,000, or 8.2% (±10.3%) higher than the revised June figure of 869,000. The July rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 547,000.

Forecasts ranged from a low of 1,169,000 to a high of 1,320,000. The consensus forecast was 1,240,000.

Housing Completions

Privately-owned housing completions came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,280,000. That’s 3.6% (±14.9%) higher from the revised June estimate of 1,236,000 and 1.7% (±12.8%) above the July 2019 rate of 1,258,000.

Single-family housing completions came in at a rate of 909,000, or 1.8% (±16.8%) below the revised June rate of 926,000. The July rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 364,000.

There’s no consensus forecast published for housing completions.

Housing Primed to Lead Economic Recovery…

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