https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2012878669656793432
by Mario Nawfal at X
The USS Abraham Lincoln is moving into a position where it could hit Iran within days. At its current pace, it’s in strike range around Jan 23.
That’s deliberate. You don’t sail a carrier that close unless you want Tehran to notice.
This doesn’t mean an attack is decided. It means the US is creating pressure. A carrier in range gives Washington options: airstrikes, deterrence, or just intimidation. It’s a way to say “we can act fast” without actually pulling the trigger.
Trump’s pattern matters here. He uses force as a bargaining chip. Big, visible military moves. Lots of uncertainty. Then he waits to see who blinks. He’s done this with Iran before. He’s done it with North Korea.
So the real question isn’t “will he attack on Jan 23.” It’s whether Iran does something dumb, or whether backchannel talks start because the clock suddenly feels real in Tehran.
Right now, this looks like leverage, not a launch countdown. But once the carrier is in place, mistakes get expensive fast.
Source: @MenchOsint/strong>
USS ABRAHAM LINCOLN MOVES INTO STRIKE RANGE OF IRAN
The USS Abraham Lincoln is moving into a position where it could hit Iran within days. At its current pace, it’s in strike range around Jan 23.
That’s deliberate. You don’t sail a carrier that close unless you want… https://t.co/BUb3MfHwmL pic.twitter.com/iXkrMXZ42B
— Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) January 18, 2026
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