by Shanaka Anslem Perera at X
Not through State Department.
Not through Switzerland.
Not through Qatar.
Through Pakistan. At 1am.
Iran’s ambassador received the message overnight: No attack. Exercise restraint.
Brent crashed 2.5% within hours.
Why Pakistan? 959 kilometers of shared border. ISI-IRGC channels predating both governments. Geographic inevitability with plausible deniability.
Qatar offers neutrality. Pakistan offers something better: a channel where both sides claim they never talked.
Trump says he told them to behave. Iran says they showed strength. Neither capitulates publicly. The architecture lets both narratives survive.
72 hours ago the world watched Diego Garcia. Six B-2 bombers. Half the combat-ready stealth fleet. GBU-57 bunker busters designed for Fordow.
Wing of Zion evacuated to Greece. The exact pattern preceding June 2025.
Every signal pointed to war.
Then a message moved through Islamabad at 1am and the calculus inverted.
The buildup was never preparation for strikes.
It was leverage for this moment.
Trump proved in June he would act. Seven B-2s. Fourteen bunker busters. Largest strike of its kind in history.
Now he is proving he can restrain.
Markets understood instantly. WTI settled $60.11. CFTC longs unwinding. Another $4-6 downside as positioning catches reality.
But here is what oil bulls are missing.
Lower prices compress Iranian revenues 10-15%. Lower revenues deepen the fiscal crisis. Deeper crisis accelerates pressure on a regime already bleeding in the streets.
Trump does not need bombs.
Price compression does the work.
The 25% tariffs on Iran’s trading partners complete the architecture. China and India face $70 billion exposure. Economic strangulation without a single Tomahawk.
The protesters are still dying. The rial is still collapsing.
But the bombs are not coming.
Not because Washington is weak.
Because Washington already won.
The art of the deal. Executed at 1am. Through a border that cannot be ignored.
TRUMP JUST DE-ESCALATED WITH IRAN
Not through State Department.
Not through Switzerland.
Not through Qatar.
Through Pakistan. At 1am.
Iran’s ambassador received the message overnight: No attack. Exercise restraint.
Brent crashed 2.5% within hours.
Why Pakistan? 959… pic.twitter.com/ePUnr7ExAq
— Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ (@shanaka86) January 15, 2026
TRUMP JUST DE-ESCALATED WITH IRAN
Not through State Department.
Not through Switzerland.
Not through Qatar.Through Pakistan. At 1am.
Iran’s ambassador received the message overnight: No attack. Exercise restraint.
Brent crashed 2.5% within hours.
Why Pakistan? 959… pic.twitter.com/ePUnr7ExAq
— Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ (@shanaka86) January 15, 2026
_________________________________________________
STRIKE ON IRAN HALTED AT THE LAST MINUTE
by Defence Index at X
BREAKING: Planned U.S. Strike on Iran Reportedly Halted at the Last Minute
A planned U.S. military strike on Iran was reportedly called off just minutes before execution after Donald Trump personally intervened, according to Walla military analyst Amir Bohbot.
Iranian… pic.twitter.com/ARyJGDAZwm
— Defence Index (@Defence_Index) January 15, 2026
_______________________________________________
WHAT THE HELL HAPPENED LAST NIGHT?
by @jess_ih_ka at X
️What the hell happened last night?
We saw fighter jets taking off from Europe & Northern Israel. Jets were recorded flying over Iraq towards Iran….then nothing
⬇️⬇️⬇️
The consensus:
Israel & the US pushed the Iranians into a defensive position. Strategies Iran planned… pic.twitter.com/RkEf4kNw2O— Iscah יסכה (@jess_ih_ka) January 15, 2026
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