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August 2, 2024 at 8:04 pm

Big Miss on Unemployment, Jumps to 4.3%…

July_2022-July_2023_Nonfarm_Payroll_Adjustment
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by Joe Weisenthal at Threadreader
BIG MISS ON UNEMPLOYMENT. UNEMPLOYMENT RISES TO 4.3%

JUST 114K NEW JOBS

Economists had expected 175K jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.1%.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2024-08-02/us-employment-report-for-july?srnd=homepage-americas&sref=vuYGislZ
S&P 500 futures now down 1.6%
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Last two months revised downward by 29K

Average hourly earnings grow just 0.2%

U6 Underemployment rises to 7.8% from 7.4%

Average Weekly Hours falls to 34.2 

2-year yields continuing to plunge
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NASDAQ-100 futures down 2.5%
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THE SAHM RULE HAS NOW BEEN TRIGGERED bloomberg.com/news/live-blog…
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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2024-08-02/us-employment-report-for-july?cursorId=66ACD19DB2200000
Today’s episode looking very timely!

DID THE FED JUST MAKE A POLICY ERROR?@tracyalloway and I talked to the great Macquarie Strategist Viktor Shvets about the decision, and why he believes that Powell & Co have now lost all confidence in their own economic models. https://t.co/VMMET61ip7

— Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) August 2, 2024

Also credit to Neil Dutta of @RenMacLLC who was warning about this risk a month and a half ago

‎Odd Lots: Lots More With Neil Dutta on a Looming Fed Policy Error on Apple Podcasts‎Show Odd Lots, Ep Lots More With Neil Dutta on a Looming Fed Policy Error – Jun 28, 2024https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lots-more-with-neil-dutta-on-a-looming-fed-policy-error/id1056200096?i=1000660527121
“The number of unemployed people increased by 352,000 to 7.2 million” 

• • •

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